4/4/2022

Six To One Odds

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Find NFL odds, point spreads, and betting lines for the 2020-2021 football season. Visit FOXSports.com for this week's top action! The Kansas City Chiefs lost to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Super Bowl 55. However, the Chiefs remain the favorites to win Super Bowl 56 at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California. The Chiefs are listed at 6/1 odds (Bet $100 to win $600), while the defending champion Buccaneers are.

  1. What Does Six To One Odds Mean
  2. Is 1/6 Good Odds
  3. Six To One Odds College Football
  4. Six To One Odds Super Bowl
  5. Six To One Odds College Bowl
  6. Six To One Odds Ncaa Football


Having already dealt with hand rankings and the starting hands in parts 1 and 2, it’s time to turn to the mathematical side of the game and see just how much difference the 36-card deck makes to pot odds.

This will obviously involve looking at whether you’re likely to be ahead or not at any given point, and also calculating the percentages of outs available for you or your opponent.

Let’s start with an open example:

Example 1

Six plus Hold’em ($10/20, 6-handed)

Hero:910

Villain:QQ

Villain opens in seat 1 for $50, everyone else folds and you call in the BB. Pot = $110

Odds

Flop:7KA

Hero checks and Villain continuation bets$55, half the pot, making the pot$165 (let’s not discuss whether it’s a good play or not - I’m trying to make the maths simple for us all!)

We don’t know what the villain has, but we’re pretty sure we are only drawing to the flush here, so it comes down to pot odds whether we call or not (let’s ignore a speculative re-raise in this scenario!)

There are only nine spades in the deck in total (remember that the 2,3,4 and 5 are all out of play) and five of them are split between the board, our hand and our opponent’s hand. We don’t know that he has the Qs, so that’s only four in play for our purposes – so five cards left to draw to.

So, 5 of the 31 cards unknown to us will likely win, which is about a 17% chance of hitting, and we have two attempts at hitting it, so roughly 34%.

The other way of calculating this is to count one out, which is one in 31 = 3.2%, so…

5 cards x 3.2% x 2 attempts = 32%, which is close enough for practical purposes.
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In this instance, we are being offered 3-1 on the pot, and we are 2-1 to win, so it’s an easy call. Our flush draw will come in more often than not.

So, just as we saw in Part 2 that we are twice as likely to receive any particular starting hand, so the unofficial ‘Rule of 4 & 2’ changes and becomes…..the ‘Rule of 2&1’. Our %’s are easy to calculate quickly, if not 100% accurately.

With two cards to come in Texas Hold’em, we multiply our outs by four, if only the river is left then times by two. In Six Plus 2x and 1x is the easy way.

Also useful to note is if we had reason to believe our opponent was on trips, then his quite realistic chances of hitting a full house would have to be factored in were we playing Texas Hold’em – but in Six Plus a Flush beats a Full House anyway, so it wouldn’t be an issue. A difference, and a crucial one.

Let’s try another example, and see how straights play with pot odds and outs.


Example 2

Six plus Hold’em ($10/20, 6-handed)

Hero:910

Villain:QQ

Villain opens in seat 1 for $50, everyone else folds and you call in the BB. Pot = $110

Flop:78K

Hero checks and Villain c-bets $55, half the pot, making the pot $165 (again, keeping the maths simple)

So, first of all we have ‘nothing’ except an open-ended straight draw, and we can consider our opponent to have something better than this, so again we are drawing to win.

What Does Six To One Odds Mean

We have eight outs (the four 6’s and the 4 Jacks) and there are again 31 unknown cards, so roughly 26%. And we have the turn and river to hit them. So, using the ‘guesstimator’ rule of ‘2 & 1’ for practical play, we can say 2 x 26%=52% chance of hitting.

Just to check this….

8 cards x 3.2% x 2 attempts = 51%, again close enough to know we’ve done it right.
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This is even clearer than example one when it comes to pot odds: 3-1 pot odds and even money on a win with your straight.

However, if you factor in that your opponent might have trips – which now beats a straight in Six Plus Holdem, it brings the odds down a bit - though you’d have to actually ‘know’ he was on trips to let it affect your play here.

The even more interesting aspect which this brings up, as pointed out on PokerVIP, is that:

Basically, if you know that your opponent doesn’t have trips or better, you can just keep on raising, because if you have any kind of fold equity, you’re going to profit in the long run; and when you do get called, it’s as close to a flip as it will ever be, provided you’re not drawing dead.”
Let’s draw up a table which shows the Texas Hold’em %’s versus the new Six Plus Hold’em %’s. These are the numbers you should learn by heart!



Odds and Probabilities from the flop to the river
Texas
Six Plus
Making a flush from a 4-flush
34.5%
33%
Making a full house or better from a set
33.3%
54%
Making a full house from 2 pair
16.4%
26%
Filling an open-ended straight draw
31.3%
51%
Filling a gutshot straight by the river
16.4%
26%


Odds and Probabilities at the turn
Texas
Six Plus
Making a flush from a 4-flush
19.6%
16.5%
Making a full house or better from a set
21.7%
32.2%
Making a full house from 2 pair
8.33%
12.8%
Filling an open-ended straight draw
17.2%
25.6%
Filling a gutshot straight draw
8.33%
12.8%


OK, so these are the basics regarding pot odds and outs –for deeper strategy I refer you back to our earlier link where you can find all sorts of goodies which explain the differences in more details: stacking off, 3-betting ranges and much more.

For the time being, this 3–parter has hopefully set you up to at least play Six Plus Hold’em without the feeling that you know nothing about this action-packed version of poker!
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Is 1/6 Good Odds


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One of the games that have seen a flurry of interest over the last few months is Six Plus Hold’em, also referred to as Short Deck Poker.

Six Plus Hold’em is an exciting and fun poker variant based on Texas Hold’em where the game is played with a deck of 36 cards as opposed to the usual 52 cards in traditional hold’em. Deuces through fives are removed from the deck giving the game its name Six Plus Hold’em/6+ or Short Deck Poker.

Aces are played both low and high, making both a low-end straight A6789 and the high JQKTA. Also, with a shortened deck, the game changes a bit in terms of hand rankings and rules. A Flush beats a Full House and in most places where Six Plus is offered, a Set or a Three-of-a-Kind beats a Straight.

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Because the low cards are removed, there are more playable hands compared with traditional Hold’em, and so it is more of an action-orientated game. Not only are the hand rankings modified but so are the mathematics and odds/probabilities of the majority of hands.

Before we talk about the odds and probabilities of some of the hands, let’s have a look at the hand rankings offered in Six Plus Hold’em (ranked from the highest hand to the lowest):

Six Plus Hold’em Hand Rankings Comparison

Six To One Odds College Football

Traditional Hold’em6+ Plus Hold’em (Trips beat Straight)6+ Plus Hold’em (Straight beat Trips)
Royal FlushRoyal FlushRoyal Flush
Straight FlushStraight FlushStraight Flush
Four of a KindFour of a KindFour of a Kind
Full HouseFlushFlush
FlushFull HouseFull House
StraightThree-of-a-KindStraight
Three-of-a-KindStraightThree-of-a-Kind
Two PairTwo PairTwo Pair
One PairOne PairOne Pair
High CardHigh CardHigh Card

One may wonder why a Flush is ranked higher than a Full House or why Three-of-a-Kind is ranked above a Straight. That’s because in Six Plus Hold’em, a Flush is harder to make since there are only nine cards in each suit instead of thirteen. Similarly, the stripped-deck also means that the remaining 36 cards are much closer in rank and so there will be smaller gaps between the cards in the hand and those on the board. This increases the probability of a hand becoming a Straight and hence Straights are ranked higher than a Three-of-a-Kind.

However, it is worth noting that the rules vary from game to game. For example, in the Short Deck variant offered in the Triton Poker Series, a Straight is ranked higher than a Three-of-a-Kind like in traditional hold’em even though mathematically a player would hit a Straight more.

One of the reasons why an operator would rank a Straight higher than Three-of-a-Kind is because it would generate more action. If Trips were ranked higher, a player with a Straight draw would have no reason to continue the hand as he or she would be drawing dead.

Let’s take a look at the odds/probabilities of hitting some of the hands:

Six Plus Hold’em vs Traditional Hold’em (Odds and Probabilities comparison)

Traditional Hold’emSix Plus Hold’em/Short Deck Poker
Getting Dealt Aces1 in 221 (0.45%)1 in 105 (0.95%)
Aces Win % vs a Random Hand85%77%
Getting Dealt any Pocket Pair5.90%8.60%
Hitting a Set with a Pocket Pair11.80%18%
Hitting an Open-Ended Straight by the River31.50%48%
Possible Starting Hands1326630

As you can see in the table above, the odds of being dealt pocket Aces are doubled as you now get the powerful starting hand dealt once in every 105 hands, as opposed to once in every 221 hands with a full 52-card deck. However, the probability of winning a hand with aces vs a random hand decreases from 85% in traditional hold’em to 77% in Six Plus Hold’em.

Six To One Odds Super Bowl

The probability of hitting a Set with pocket pairs increases to 18% from 11.8%, and the probability of hitting an open-ended Straight by the River also increases to 48% in 6+ Hold’em compared with 31.5% in traditional Hold’em.

Let’s now have a look at some of the pre-flop all-in hand situations:

Six Plus Hold’em vs Traditional Hold’em (Hands Comparison)

Hand All-in Pre-FlopTraditional Hold’em6+ Hold’em (Trips beat Straight)6+ Hold’em (Straight beat Trips)
Ac Ks vs Th Td43% vs 57%47% vs 53%49% vs 51%
Ac Ks vs Jc Th63% vs 37%53% vs 47%52% vs 48%
As Ah vs 6s 6h81% vs 19%76% vs 24%76% vs 24%
Six To One Odds

As mentioned earlier, the equities run very close to each other with the shortened deck and so a hand like Ace-King versus Jack-Ten is almost a coin-flip, whereas the former is a favorite in Texas Hold’em. Again, a hand like Ace-King versus a pocket pair like Tens is a coin-flip in 6+, whereas a pocket pair is a slight favorite in normal Hold’em.

Now, let’s take a look at the probabilities when a connected or wet Flop is dealt:

Player 1: Ac Ks
Player 2: Td 9h

Flop: Kh 8c 7d

Traditional Hold’em6+ Hold’em (Trips beat Straight)6+ Hold’em (Straight beat Trips)
Player 1 vs Player 266% vs 34%52% vs 48%48% vs 52%

In traditional Hold’em, Ace-King is a favorite with 66% and Player 2 is chasing the Straight draw with a close to 34% chance of hitting it. However, the probability significantly changes in both variants of 6+ Hold’em. In a variant where Trips beat a Straight, Player 1 is only a slight favorite with just 52% (more like a coin-flip). However, in a Short Deck game where a Straight beat Trips, Player 2 is now slightly favorite with 52% chance of hitting a Straight by the river.

Another hand:

Six To One Odds College Bowl

Player 1: As Ah
Player 2: Qd Jh

Flop: Ad Th 9s

Six To One Odds Ncaa Football

Traditional Hold’em6+ Hold’em (Trips Beat a Straight)6+ Hold’em (Straight beat Trips)
Player 1 vs Player 274% vs 26%100% vs 0%68% vs 32%
Six To One Odds

It’s pretty clear when it comes to normal Hold’em, but in a Short Deck variant where Trips beat a Straight, Player 2 is drawing dead as opposed to the other variant where Player 2 still has a 32% of chance of completing a Straight by the River.